There is a notion being put forth that the only people who back President Donald Trump are old White uneducated men. While many uneducated White men do support Trump much like uneducated Black women voted for Barack Obama, the path to Trump winning the 2020 presidential race will actually tip with the Hispanic community.
“Black Lives Matter” Doesn’t Resonate with Many Hispanics
While liberals and the Black community have aggressively pushed the notion of intersectionality and the cause of BLM, it has left many in the Hispanic community feeling less than excited.
For those who generally believe that minorities suffer under “white supremacy,” as Progressives call it, Hispanics are turned off by the BLM moniker. Why not state that “Minority Lives Matter” or “People of Color’s Lives Matter”? Why elevate the Black community over their own?
“Defund the Police” Doesn’t Resonate
More specifically, the Hispanic community’s orientation towards police in America is not the same as for White liberals and Black people. Hispanics relate to law enforcement much more like Independents and Libertarians, appreciating the important role that law enforcement has in creating safe streets in America. They have heard enough war stories from Latin America to recognize truly crooked cops. Further, the number of Latinos in the U.S. armed services and police forces jumped significantly over the past twenty years, more than any other group.
As such, the BLM Manifesto which calls for “defunding the police” is appalling to many Hispanics. That founders of the movement (Patrisse Cullors, Alicia Garza and Opal Tometi) support the Biden/Harris ticket has pushed many Hispanics away.
“Disrupt the Western-prescribed nuclear family structure requirement” Doesn’t Resonate
The BLM manifesto did not only go against the police but many “requirements” foisted upon society, including having households headed by a father and mother. While Hispanics do have more single parent households (41%) than White people (24%), it still pales relative to Blacks (65%). Similarly, the percentage of fathers with children outside of marriage for Hispanics (59%) is in between Whites (37%) and Blacks (76%). Blacks and Hispanics are far from a uniform.
The religious orientation surrounding families is also a factor. Whites and Hispanics have almost the same feelings regarding a belief in God whereas Blacks are much more likely to believe. Whites and Hispanics similarly attend church at similar rates, while Black people go more frequently.
Hispanics are more Jewish and Zionist
While several elements of the Black Lives Matter both advocated for anti-Israel policies and leaders associated with vile anti-Semites, the Hispanic community is very different. Many researchers believe that as much as 25% of Hispanics have deep Jewish roots going back to when Jews were expelled from Spain and Portugal with many settling in South America as part of the European discoveries in the 15th and 16th centuries.
Israel has long been a favorite destination for Evangelical Christians but is increasingly seeing more Hispanics travel to the holy land. Israel’s Ministry of Tourism has made the Hispanic community an important part of its marketing plan and they are seeing a greater number of positive messages pulling them to the Jewish State.
Trump Masculinity and Liberal ‘Machismo’
While liberals and conservatives have both condemned Trump’s vile and vulgar comments, liberals have leaned in on Trump’s ‘toxic masculinity‘ and connected it – in a derogatory racist manner – to White and Hispanic men but not to Black men. Outfits like HuffPo call out Trump’s ‘Machismo‘ tying him to Hispanics and avoid using terms like ‘swagger’ and connecting him to Black males. Yet Black people are less tolerant of gays and transgenders than either Whites or Hispanics according to FBI statistics on hate crimes, but don’t let a narrative get in the way. The media prefers to lump Hispanics and Blacks into a Democratic grab bag of voters with just a handful of Hispanic men who like Trump’s ‘macho man‘ bravado outside the liberal reach.
Democrats have made the case against Trump based on two principles: his toxic masculinity and his failure to contain the coronavirus.
But Hispanics look at the coronavirus very differently than Blacks. African-Americans are much more likely to have a local lens than Hispanic Americans who look at Central and South America. To the extent that Blacks look at Africa, they see a continent thus spar spared from the pandemic. In stark contrast, Hispanics see the USA being hit at roughly the same rate as homelands, making the case against Trump much weaker.
|Country||Deaths per 1M|
Arizona, Texas and Florida
There are a number of key states in the electoral college that are considered “swing states.” These will likely go to Trump due to the Hispanic vote:
|State||Electoral College Votes||Percent Hispanic|
The Hispanic vote is far from a monolith. The Cubans in Florida for example are much more conservative than Dominicans in New York. The media doesn’t only fold them together with the Blacks inappropriately but treats them as a single voting block as well.
While the Black community is a lock for liberals, the Hispanic community if far more diverse and conservative. Should Trump win re-election, a contributing factor will be the far-left turn of the Democratic Party with its embrace of the Black Lives Matter ‘Defund the Police’ agenda pushing Hispanic voters to the right.
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